Nate Silver, a top election forecaster, has unveiled his latest 2024 model showing Kamala Harris in a stronger position against Donald Trump compared to Joe Biden.
However, Harris faces a significant challenge: while she’s projected to win the popular vote, her chances of securing the Electoral College are slim at just over 38 percent, Silver’s model reveals.
In contrast, Trump holds a 61 percent chance in the Electoral College. Recent swing state polls indicate Harris has erased Trump’s lead, now leading by 11 points in Michigan, signaling a shift in momentum ahead of the general election.
Vice President Kamala Harris has surged past Donald Trump in battleground states, according to a recent Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll. Across seven key states, Harris now leads Trump by an average of 48 percent to 47 percent.
Her strongest gain is in Michigan, where she commands a 53 to 42 percent lead.
She also holds narrow leads in Nevada, Arizona, and Wisconsin, while trailing in Pennsylvania and North Carolina. Harris has drawn increased voter engagement, particularly among Black, younger, and Hispanic demographics since replacing Biden as the Democratic nominee.
Paul Dans, head of Project 2025, has resigned amid controversy over the project’s association with Trump’s campaign plans. The initiative, which proposed strategies for a potential second Trump administration, faced criticism from Democrats.
The Trump campaign clarified that Project 2025 was not officially linked to them and distanced itself from any misconceptions about its influence.
Nate Silver’s updated forecast model for the 2024 presidential race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump reveals Harris in a stronger position than Biden was before withdrawing from the race.
Despite this, Harris remains an underdog in the Electoral College with slightly over a 38 percent chance of victory compared to Trump’s 61 percent. The forecast also indicates Harris has a higher likelihood of winning the popular vote, currently projected at over 53 percent.
Kamala Harris condemned Donald Trump for endorsing derogatory remarks made by a radio host about her husband, Doug Emhoff, referring to him as a ‘crappy Jew.’ Harris labeled Trump’s comments as hateful and beneath the dignity expected from a presidential candidate.
Kamala Harris has not yet chosen her vice presidential running mate, indicating during a campaign rally in Atlanta that no decision has been made. Her campaign continues to gain momentum as she engages with voters across critical battleground states.
Lara Trump, daughter-in-law of Donald Trump and co-chair of the Republican Party, likened Kamala Harris to a designer handbag resembling a trash bag, criticizing efforts to promote Harris as a significant political figure.
Senator J.D. Vance refuted accusations of racism following comments by MSNBC contributor Molly Jong-Fast, defending his commitment to family and addressing misconceptions about his statements.
Anita Dunn, a key advisor to President Biden, has left the White House to support a super PAC endorsing Vice President Kamala Harris. Dunn’s departure marks a significant transition as Biden shifts focus to supporting Harris’ presidential bid.
Donald Trump faced criticism after agreeing with a radio host’s disparaging remarks about Kamala Harris’ husband, Doug Emhoff, calling him a ‘crappy Jew.’ Trump’s comments drew widespread condemnation as Harris supporters rallied behind her.
Kari Lake, a Republican Senate candidate, campaigned alongside her daughter Ruby in Arizona, encouraging voters to support her bid in the upcoming primary election.
Kamala Harris has gained ground against Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, according to a recent poll by Susquehanna Polling. The vice president now leads Trump by four points, highlighting Pennsylvania as a critical battleground in the upcoming election.
Progressive Squad member Rep. Cori Bush faces a tough reelection battle in Missouri, trailing her Democratic challenger just ahead of the primary election.
President Biden’s comment referring to Speaker Mike Johnson as ‘dead on arrival’ was clarified by the White House, dismissing claims of misspeaking and reaffirming Biden’s stance on Supreme Court reform.
The Senate passed the Kids Online Safety Act, a bipartisan bill aimed at protecting children on social media platforms, reflecting growing concerns over online safety and parental controls.
Sen. J.D. Vance’s Border Visit
Senator J.D. Vance visited Arizona’s southern border to criticize Kamala Harris’ handling of the border crisis, highlighting ongoing concerns about illegal immigration under the Biden administration.
Vice President Kamala Harris plans to tour battleground states alongside her vice presidential candidate, signaling imminent decisions regarding her campaign’s strategic direction.
Donald Trump expressed interest in changing Air Force One’s color scheme to reflect his preferred design, a move that has stirred debate over presidential branding and logistical implications.
Acting Secret Service Director Ronald Rowe acknowledged security failures during the assassination attempt on Donald Trump, vowing to address vulnerabilities in security protocols.
The FBI revealed progress in their investigation of Thomas Crooks, the gunman who attempted to assassinate Donald Trump, uncovering a social media account linked to Crooks containing concerning content.
Republicans condemned the Paris Olympics’ opening ceremony for its portrayal of The Last Supper, criticizing what they deemed as disrespectful parody and anti-Christian sentiment.
President Joe Biden affirmed his support for Kamala Harris’ presidential campaign, noting his active involvement in promoting her candidacy.
Donald Trump defended J.D. Vance following criticism over past comments, asserting Vance’s commitment to family values and dismissing accusations of insensitivity.
Vice President Kamala Harris launched her first TV ad campaign titled ‘Fearless,’ highlighting her career achievements and contrasting her vision with Donald Trump’s policies.
Kamala Harris enlisted Stacey Abrams’ support in Georgia as she intensifies efforts to secure crucial battleground states, positioning herself against Donald Trump’s reelection bid.
Donald Trump shared personal reflections on the attempted assassination, revealing Melania Trump’s emotional response and reaffirming their commitment amid adversity.
Allan Lichtman’s Electoral Prediction
Professor Allan Lichtman predicted Kamala Harris is currently favored to win the 2024 presidential election based on his electoral forecasting model, highlighting her strategic advantage heading into the final stretch of the campaign.
Veepstakes Drama as Leading Contender Withdraws
A leading contender for Kamala Harris’ vice presidential nominee has withdrawn from consideration, reshaping the dynamics of her campaign as she nears a pivotal decision.